The scenario is far from unlikely: a wildfire rips through the forest that covers the southwest flank of the San Francisco Peaks above Fort Valley and Baderville. Soon after that, heavy monsoon rains sweep through the area, causing a 100-year flood event. What would happen to the homes and buildings at the foot of the Peaks? A new study prepared for Coconino County and published this year provides an answer. According to the study’s modeling, flows in the Rio de Flag downstream of Fort Valley would be up to four times higher than if the same amount of rain fell on unburned forest. Fort Valley homes would see flooding levels increase by up to three feet and an estimated 222 structures would see more than a foot of floodwater, compared to 87 structures if the heavy rains fell under current forest conditions.